Qualiq Research · QR-2026-01 · May 2026

xStocks Liquidity Tax.

A 60-day replay of tokenized equity execution quality on Solana, against a NBBO reference, decomposed by pair and by session.

1. Executive summary

Tokenized equity tokens (xStocks) trading on Solana's Raydium CLMM pools incur a swap-count-weighted median execution spread of 14 basis points against NBBO fair value — roughly 3× the spread achievable by a competitive dealer-RFQ venue like Qualiq.

Key findings across 4 pairs, 17,482 swaps, $8,276,871 sampled volume (all pairs: 60-day window, sample_rate = 5; true volume ≈ $41,384,355).

2. Headline findings

Pair Swaps Volume (USDC) Mkt p50 (bps) A/H p50 (bps) p90 (bps) Est. savings
TSLAx/USDC8,409$3,752,85413.667.2123.7$12,053
NVDAx/USDC6,426$3,592,25211.467.6138.5$11,865
AAPLx/USDC1,337$492,76922.149.7122.2$1,361
GLDx/USDC 1,310$438,996 21.280.5225.4$2,444

3. Per-pair analysis

Each pair's section shows the full distribution against NBBO, broken out by session (market hours vs. after-hours), with five companion charts: spread histogram, staleness vs. spread, intraday heatmap, Qualiq counterfactual, and cumulative savings.

3.1 TSLAx/USDC

8,409 swaps · $3,752,854 volume · 2026-03-16 → 2026-05-04

MetricValue
Market-hours p5013.6 bps
Market-hours p9053.36 bps
After-hours p5067.2 bps
After-hours p90220.23 bps
Market-hours swaps5,072 (60%)
After-hours swaps3,337 (40%)
Spread histogram for TSLAx/USDC
Fig 3.1.a Spread distribution
Staleness vs spread for TSLAx/USDC
Fig 3.1.b Staleness vs spread
Intraday heatmap for TSLAx/USDC
Fig 3.1.c Intraday heatmap
Counterfactual for TSLAx/USDC
Fig 3.1.d Qualiq counterfactual
Cumulative savings for TSLAx/USDC
Fig 3.1.e Cumulative savings

3.2 NVDAx/USDC

6,426 swaps · $3,592,252 volume · 2026-03-16 → 2026-05-04

MetricValue
Market-hours p5011.4 bps
Market-hours p9044.06 bps
After-hours p5067.6 bps
After-hours p90227.01 bps
Market-hours swaps3,330 (52%)
After-hours swaps3,096 (48%)
Spread histogram for NVDAx/USDC
Fig 3.2.a Spread distribution
Staleness vs spread for NVDAx/USDC
Fig 3.2.b Staleness vs spread
Intraday heatmap for NVDAx/USDC
Fig 3.2.c Intraday heatmap
Counterfactual for NVDAx/USDC
Fig 3.2.d Qualiq counterfactual
Cumulative savings for NVDAx/USDC
Fig 3.2.e Cumulative savings

3.3 AAPLx/USDC

1,337 swaps · $492,769 volume · 2026-03-16 → 2026-05-04

MetricValue
Market-hours p5022.1 bps
Market-hours p9065.92 bps
After-hours p5049.7 bps
After-hours p90182.77 bps
Market-hours swaps683 (51%)
After-hours swaps654 (49%)
Spread histogram for AAPLx/USDC
Fig 3.3.a Spread distribution
Staleness vs spread for AAPLx/USDC
Fig 3.3.b Staleness vs spread
Intraday heatmap for AAPLx/USDC
Fig 3.3.c Intraday heatmap
Counterfactual for AAPLx/USDC
Fig 3.3.d Qualiq counterfactual
Cumulative savings for AAPLx/USDC
Fig 3.3.e Cumulative savings

3.4 GLDx/USDC

1,310 swaps · $438,996 volume · 2026-03-16 → 2026-05-04

MetricValue
Market-hours p5021.2 bps
Market-hours p90101.45 bps
After-hours p5080.5 bps
After-hours p90265.39 bps
Market-hours swaps429 (33%)
After-hours swaps881 (67%)
Spread histogram for GLDx/USDC
Fig 3.4.a Spread distribution
Staleness vs spread for GLDx/USDC
Fig 3.4.b Staleness vs spread
Intraday heatmap for GLDx/USDC
Fig 3.4.c Intraday heatmap
Counterfactual for GLDx/USDC
Fig 3.4.d Qualiq counterfactual
Cumulative savings for GLDx/USDC
Fig 3.4.e Cumulative savings

4. SOL/USDC — crypto-native baseline & methodology validation

This section replicates the Jump Crypto (March 2026) propAMM spread analysis using the same on-chain data methodology, establishing that Qualiq's analytical approach is sound and that sub-2-bps execution is demonstrably achievable on Solana for crypto-native pairs.

MetricRaydium CLMM SOL/USDCJump propAMM (middle 50%)
p25 spread 1.17 bps0.33 bps
p50 spread 3.16 bps
p75 spread 5.65 bps1.36 bps
Swaps sampled22

Interpretation

Raydium CLMM SOL/USDC shows somewhat wider spreads than Jump Crypto's propAMM finding because CLMM is a passive AMM — it prices via inventory risk, not competitive quoting. PropAMMs (programmable AMMs with intent-based quoting) achieve tighter spreads by attracting competitive market-maker flow. Qualiq's MDRF model applies the propAMM principle to tokenized equities: dealers compete via Request-for-Quote, targeting 4.0 bps market-hours against the current 14 bps Raydium AMM baseline.

A. Appendix — data sources & methodology

A.1 Data sources

SourceDescriptionAuth
yfinance 5-min equity bars (OHLCV) for TSLA, NVDA, AAPL, GLDFree, no key
Binance klines API1-min SOL/USDT klines for CEX mid reference Free, no key
QuickNode Solana RPCgetSignaturesForAddress + getTransaction (JSON-RPC batch)QuickNode endpoint
Raydium v3 API Pool state account discovery by mint (TVL-ranked) Free

A.2 Swap discovery methodology

  1. Pool-based, not mint-based

    Token mint accounts receive 5,000–15,000 signatures/day (mints, burns, transfers, all pools). Pool state accounts receive only that pool's swap/LP transactions — 10–100× fewer, targeted to the specific liquidity we care about.

  2. Signature pagination

    getSignaturesForAddress(pool_id, limit=1000) pages backward through history, filtered to the date range.

  3. Batch transaction fetch

    JSON-RPC batches of 10 getTransaction calls per HTTP request.

  4. Swap detection

    Fee-payer's preTokenBalances and postTokenBalances must show equal and opposite changes in base- and quote-mint balances.

A.3 Fair-value methodology

  • Equity pairs (NBBO proxy) — ASOF backward join to the most recent 5-min bar. swap_market_open is computed from the swap's own UTC timestamp using NYSE trading hours (09:30–16:00 ET), not from the yfinance bar (which only contains market-hours data).
  • Crypto pairs (CEX mid) — ASOF backward join to the most recent 1-min Binance bar. Always-open (no market-hours concept).

A.4 Spread formula

spread_bps = |executed_price_usdc − mid| / mid × 10,000

A.5 Limitations

  • Data coverage. All 4 pairs use the full 60-day window (2026-03-05 → 2026-05-04, sample_rate = 5, 17,482 swaps total). TSLAx and NVDAx are the liquid headline pairs; AAPLx and GLDx have materially lower volume and should be interpreted as directional rather than statistically robust.
  • Sampling. Swap ingestor fetches 1-in-5 transactions for TSLAx/NVDAx. Sampled volume represents ~20% of true on-chain volume; all dollar figures above should be multiplied by 5 to estimate true magnitude.
  • NBBO proxy. yfinance provides close price as mid, not true NBBO bid/ask. True NBBO requires Polygon.io Developer tier (~$199/mo). Close price slightly underestimates spreads in thin markets.
  • After-hours fair value. With no 5-min bar update after 16:00 ET, the mid used for after-hours swaps is the last NYSE close — staleness can be 8–16+ hours for overnight swaps, making after-hours spread estimates noisier (directional, not precise).
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